TLDR:
- Itaú suggests 1%–3% Bitcoin allocation to enhance portfolio diversification and resilience.
- BITI11 ETF allows Brazilian investors to access Bitcoin with currency-hedging benefits.
- Bitcoin’s low correlation with domestic assets reduces dependence on local market cycles.
- Strategic allocation helps investors capture global returns while mitigating short-term volatility.
Brazil’s leading private bank, Itaú, has officially recommended Bitcoin as part of a diversified investment strategy.
The bank suggests a measured allocation of up to 3% in portfolios, positioning Bitcoin as a complementary asset rather than a core holding. Bitcoin offers distinct dynamics compared to traditional stocks, fixed income, or domestic investments.
Renato Eid, Partner at Itaú Asset and Head of Beta Strategies, highlighted in his recent article that Bitcoin provides potential long-term returns while serving as partial protection against currency depreciation.
Amid global uncertainties and macroeconomic volatility, assets with low correlation to local markets are increasingly valuable for Brazilian investors.
Bitcoin’s 2025 Performance and Currency Interaction.
Bitcoin began 2025 at around $95,000 and dropped to approximately $80,000 amid a global tariff crisis.
The cryptocurrency then rebounded to an all-time high of $125,000 before returning to near $95,000. This fluctuation underscores Bitcoin’s high volatility and the difficulty of precise timing.
For Brazilian investors, Bitcoin’s performance is influenced by the real’s depreciation, which has been roughly 15% so far.
While this reduces returns in local currency, periods of stress can benefit portfolios by providing partial currency hedging, as seen in December 2024 when the exchange rate reached nearly USD 6.30.
Itaú emphasizes that Bitcoin’s low correlation with domestic assets makes it an effective tool for diversification.
A 1%–3% allocation allows investors to gain exposure to international markets while partially hedging against currency risk.
Strategic Approach for Portfolio Integration.
Itaú recommends integrating Bitcoin as a complementary component rather than a central one.
A disciplined allocation captures returns uncorrelated with domestic economic cycles while reducing reaction to short-term market noise.
BITI11, a Brazilian Bitcoin-tracking ETF, is highlighted for offering both international diversification and currency protection.
Eid stresses that maintaining a fixed, strategic allocation ensures long-term consistency and helps investors avoid emotional decisions during volatile periods.
Bitcoin’s dual nature as a high-risk asset and a potential global store of value makes it a useful addition for investors seeking portfolio resilience.
Its global and decentralized characteristics enhance exposure to international markets without relying solely on domestic cycles.
Itaú Asset noted, “A strategic 1%–3% allocation in Bitcoin strengthens portfolios with diversification and currency hedging.” This recommendation encourages disciplined investment, highlighting Bitcoin as a calculated addition for forward-looking Brazilian investors.
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Brazil’s largest private bank Itau is now recommending