Polymarket bettors are giving the highest odds to Jan. 6 protestors and Ross Ulbricht as likely candidates for a pardon from Donald Trump when he assumes office in January.
According to the prediction market, there is an 85% chance Trump will pardon individuals involved in the Jan. 6 Capitol riot, reflecting Trump’s vocal support for those prosecuted in connection with the event.
Many January 6 participants have been charged with offenses such as unlawful entry, disorderly conduct, and in some cases, assaulting law enforcement officers.
Trump has previously characterized the prosecutions as political overreach, signaling possible leniency if he returns to office.
Ulbricht, the founder of the Silk Road online marketplace, follows closely, with a 77% chance of receiving clemency, according to Polymarket bettors.
Ulbricht was arrested in 2013 and subsequently sentenced to life in prison without parole in 2015 for his role in creating and running Silk Road, a darknet platform that facilitated drug transactions, illegal goods sales, and other unlawful activities.
Despite the nature of the charges, Ulbricht’s harsh sentence has sparked debate, with many in the crypto community arguing for his release, viewing him as a symbol of excessive punishment in the digital era.
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