Bettors in the 2024 U.S. election are increasingly favoring Donald Trump, with odds from regulated platforms like Kalshi reflecting a clear edge over Kamala Harris.
What Happened: As of Election Day at 11.45 a.m. ET, data from Kalshi’s U.S.-regulated prediction market indicates Trump has a 59% chance of winning, compared to 43% for Harris.
On the battleground front, Kalshi wagers favor Trump in Pennsylvania, Nevada, Georgia and Arizona, while Harris maintains leads in Michigan and Wisconsin.
Kalshi bettors are increasingly predicting a Republican sweep of government branches, estimating a 40% probability for a GOP trifecta encompassing the presidency, Senate and House.
However, Harris is still projected to win the popular vote, showing a significant …
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